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Partnership with China strengthens our international positions
Vasily Kashin Candidate of political sciences, senior researcher of the Center for Analysis of Strategies and Technologies (ACT)
Russia and its resources
China's need for resources is so great that one Russia can not cover it. All our oil exports - 230 million tons per year, and China imports 300 million tons.
There is a myth that our country is an unlimited source of resources, and if China takes this source, then it will solve its problems. But this is not so. He must move to all countries of the world, as the US does. China's GDP is 2,5 times "poorer" per capita than in Russia. If China achieves at least the level of economic development of today's Russia, then its needs will exceed the needs of America many times. But from the point of view of resources, Russia is important for China: it reduces dependence on imports of resources from the Middle East and reduces dependence on vulnerable sea routes.
In the current conditions, Russia's importance for China is growing. He avoids steps that could frighten our country.
The fears of the two powers
Does Russia see any threats from China? Yes. There are a number of concerns. Now we have - mutual understanding with China. But no one can predict long-term how the Chinese political system will develop. The Chinese are looking at the example of Singapore, they have an example of managed democracy in Hong Kong. They do not know what they will build in the end.
The Chinese also have their concerns. After 11 September, Russia, in order to improve relations with the West, supported the deployment of American troops in Central Asia. In 2001 – 2002, Russia was two steps away from the accelerated entry into NATO, bypassing the procedures adopted. That would be a nightmare for China. They take into account the possibility of the arrival of a US-oriented regime hostile to them. Therefore, both parties do not have long-term confidence in the prospects of their partner. Although everything is fine now, a certain level of military planning is being maintained, intelligence activities are being conducted.
Read the full talk by Vasily Kashin on the prospects for the development of Russian-Chinese relations in the series of lectures on “Forecasts on Threats” of the project to Aif.ru: http://www.aif.ru/politics/world/1105395